Revenue Score
Last updated: August 2026
The Revenue Score is a deterministic 0-100 score that ranks commercial opportunities by expected revenue quality — not by nominal deal size and not by close probability alone.
Conceptual formula
The score weights four components. Weights are configurable per organization and versioned: every opportunity stores the rule version it was scored with.
Revenue Score = w1 · Close probability
+ w2 · Expected size (normalized)
+ w3 · Expected margin
+ w4 · Execution signals
- Close probability — likelihood the opportunity is won, derived from stage, age, and historical behavior of comparable deals.
- Expected size — deal value normalized against the organization's distribution, so one outlier cannot dominate the ranking.
- Expected margin — profitability after discounts, product mix, and estimated cost to serve.
- Execution signals — stage progression, recent activity, data completeness, and the assigned seller's historical performance.
Calculation flow
Opportunity
|
v
+-------------------+ +---------------------+
| Deal data | --> | Components |
| normalization | | P(close) | Size |
+-------------------+ | Margin | Execution|
+----------+----------+
|
v
+---------------------+
| Weighting by |
| rule version |
+---------------------+
|
v
+---------------------+
| Revenue Score 0-100 |
| + top 3 drivers |
+---------------------+
|
v
Next Best Action
Score bands and interpretation
| Band | Reading | Suggested action |
|---|---|---|
| 80-100 | High-quality revenue: healthy margin, execution on track. | Prioritize and protect price. Do not discount to accelerate. |
| 60-79 | Solid with one weak dimension, usually margin or pace. | Fix the weak dimension surfaced in the drivers. |
| 40-59 | Ambiguous: revenue exists, quality is unproven. | Review product mix and terms before investing more time. |
| 0-39 | Low quality: margin-destroying, stalled, or missing data. | Renegotiate, requalify, or drop. Do not consume team capacity. |
Why it is deterministic and versioned
The same inputs produce the same score within a given rule version. There is no generative component in the calculation. Every weight change creates a new version, and opportunities keep the version they were evaluated with. That makes the ranking auditable and makes a prioritization debate reproducible month over month.
What it does NOT measure
- It does not measure seller effort or activity volume.
- It does not measure customer satisfaction or post-close lifetime value.
- It does not predict an exact close date.
- It does not replace commercial judgment: it ranks and explains, it does not decide.
Why don't we use close probability alone?
Because a deal with 95% close probability can be worse than one at 60% if it destroys margin or creates excessive implementation and support costs. Prioritizing by probability optimizes win rate, not profitability: it pushes the team toward easy deals, which are usually the most discounted ones.
The Revenue Score combines multiple dimensions precisely to avoid prioritizing low-quality revenue. That is the differentiator of Revenue Quality Engine versus a CRM, which records the pipeline, and versus commission software, which only pays it out.